Why did the price of PI drop by 18,31% in the last 24 hours?

Why did the price of PI drop by 18,31% in the last 24 hours?

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Estimated reading time: 4 minutes

TLDR

Pi network coin has fallen by 18,31% in the last 24 hours, significantly underperforming the broader crypto market (-3,64%).

Main causes

  • Rapid implementation of Fast Track KYC – Accelerated access to wallets without the ability to migrate increased selling pressure.
  • Technical breakthrough – The price broke key support levels within a bearish trend.
  • General risk aversion in the market – Altcoins faced an outflow of liquidity while Bitcoin’s dominance grew.

More detailed analysis

1. Rapid KYC implementation (Negative impact)

Overview:

Pi Network recently (September 19) announced Fast Track KYC, which allows users to verify their identity and activate their wallet faster, but does not allow migration to Mainnet.

This led to a temporary increase in supply as verified holders gained access to wallets but were unable to fully utilize their tokens in the wider ecosystem.

What does this mean:

  • Increased circulating liquidity without corresponding demand.
  • Community concerns about migration delays have resurfaced, sparking sell-offs.

2. Technical Breakthrough (Negative Impact)

Overview:

PI broke its 7-day moving average (SMA) at $0,3578 and 30-day SMA at $0,353, with the RSI (46,22) showing no signs of overbought or oversold.

The decline accelerated after breaking the 23,6% Fibonacci retracement at $0,382.

What does this mean:

  • Algorithmic traders have likely increased the downward pressure below $0,33.
  • The next support level is at the 38,2% Fibonacci level ($0,372), but weak volume suggests continued vulnerability.

Important indicator: Daily closes above $0,31 (September 21st low) to confirm stabilization

3. Liquidity outflow from altcoins (Mixed impact)

Overview:

Bitcoin dominance rose to 57,77% (+0,7% in 24 hours) as traders shifted capital from riskier assets. PI trading volume increased by 590%, which was related to the turbulence in the derivatives market - open interest in perpetual contracts increased by 23,68%, despite the price decline.

What does this mean:

  • High leverage could have triggered chain liquidations of positions.
  • PI's low liquidity (turnover ratio of 0,057) increases volatility.

Conclusion

PI’s decline is the result of a combination of project-specific uncertainties (delays in token adoption), technical factors, and general risk aversion in the market. While the KYC update aims to boost long-term adoption, short-term traders are already factoring in the risks associated with the migration timelines.

Key question:

Can PI hold the $0,28-0,29 zone (annual VWAP anchor for 2025) and prevent another 15-20% decline?

Related articles …

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